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	<title>The Mortgage Buzz &#187; Existing Home Sales</title>
	<atom:link href="http://themortgagebuzz.com/category/existing-home-sales/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com</link>
	<description>The DAILY buzz about the financial markets, real estate &#38; mortgages.</description>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Plummet In July; Home Buyers Gain Leverage</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/08/25/existing-home-sales-july-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/08/25/existing-home-sales-july-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Aug 2010 12:47:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply,Home Values]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/08/25/existing-home-sales-july-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The number of home resales plunged by 1.4 million units in July. Home buyers may uncover opportunities for a deal.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales July 2009 - July 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201007.png" alt="Existing Home Sales July 2009 - July 2010" width="216" height="302" />The number of home resales <a title="Existing Home Sales July 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/08/ehs_fall" target="_blank">plunged by 1.4 million units in July</a>, according to the National Association of Realtors&reg;&#8217; Existing Home Sales report.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a drop of 27 percent from June; single-family home resales are at the report&#8217;s lowest levels since May 1999.</p>
<p>Furthermore, because of the sharp drop in sales volume, home inventories are spiking.</p>
<p>Homes for sale nationwide fell just short of 4 million units in July and, at the current sales paces, it would take 12.5 months for the existing inventory to be absorbed.</p>
<p>Home supply was just 8.9 months in June.</p>
<p>For home sellers in new york , the Existing Home Sales report is a bit of bad news.&nbsp; Fewer sales and larger inventories put negotiation leverage in the hands of the buyers which, in turn, creates downward pressure on home prices.&nbsp; It may also increase time-on-market.</p>
<p>For home <em>buyers</em>, however, the data is decidedly welcome. After a stimulus-driven spring buying season that favored sellers, the summer and early-fall market seem to favor buyers. More choices and more leverage is a positive.</p>
<p>It helps that home affordability is up, too.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Although there&#8217;s reports that home values are rising, their modest gains are more than countered by the ongoing rally in mortgage rates. Freddie Mac says that 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates are at their lowest levels in history and, at today&#8217;s rates, every one-eighth drop in mortgage rates roughly offsets a 1.5% increase to home price.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates are down 0.75 percent since mid-April.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Existing Home Sales Drop In June But Hint At Higher Price Tier Support</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jul 2010 12:46:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Consistent with most post-home buyer tax credit housing news, Existing Home Sales eased lower last month. The 5 percent drop in sales was expected, but a closer look at the month's data reveals some interesting trends.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Supply (June 2009 - June 2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201007.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (June 2009 - June 2010)" width="216" height="302" />Consistent with most post-home buyer tax credit housing news, the National Association of Realtors&reg; says <a title="Existing Home Sales report June 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/07/ehs_june_above" target="_blank">Existing Home Sales eased lower</a> last month.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be considered new construction.</p>
<p>The 5 percent drop in sales from May to June was expected, but a closer look at the month&#8217;s data reveals some interesting trends.</p>
<p>First, repeat buyers accounted for 44 percent of home resales in June, up from 40 percent in May. That&#8217;s a healthy increase for just 4 weeks&#8217; time and the tax credit is a likely catalyst. First-timer buyers bought starter homes owned by <em>former</em> first-timers, who were then free to &#8220;move up&#8221; to larger, more expensive property.</p>
<p>Housing markets can be trickle-up and, not coincidentally, the jumbo/luxury housing market is now in <a title="Jumbo housing market returns" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703609004575354823959760374.html" target="_blank">the midst of rebound</a>.</p>
<p>Second, June&#8217;s &#8220;distressed sales&#8221; accounted for 32 percent of all home resales, up from 31 percent in May.</p>
<p>A figure like this hints at the large role foreclosures continue to play in a chicago home buyer&#8217;s home search strategy.&nbsp; And why not? The National Association of Realtors&reg; suggests that distressed homes are sold at <a title="NAR says distressed homes are sold at 15 percent discount" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/04/ehs_favorable" target="_blank">a 15 percent discount</a>.</p>
<p>Lastly, take note that home inventories are rising. June&#8217;s 8.9 months of supply is the highest in 10 months. Excess supply leads home prices lower, all things equal.</p>
<p>Overall, the Existing Home Sales data from June is a mixed bag. There&#8217;s support for the middle- and upper-price tiers, but a growing overhang of supply. The market looks favorable for buyers given low mortgage rates and strong negotiation leverage.</p>
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		<title>May 2010 Existing Home Sales Is Better Than The Headline Data Suggests</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/06/23/existing-home-sales-may-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/06/23/existing-home-sales-may-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 12:47:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/06/23/existing-home-sales-may-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The press is calling the May 2010 drop in Existing Home Sales "unexpected" and disappointing, but a deeper look at the data shows the news isn't as bad as it first appears.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales May 2009-May 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201006.png" alt="Existing Home Sales May 2009-May 2010" width="216" height="302" />Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales report May 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/06/may_strong_pace" target="_blank">dropped in May</a> for the first time in 3 months but still managed to post its second-highest since November 2009, buoyed by the expiring federal tax credit program.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be considered new construction; a resale of an existing home.&nbsp; Existing Home Sales fell 2.2 percent in May.</p>
<p>The press is calling the drop in sales &#8220;<a title="Existing Home Sales story May 2010" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5g-1tVeJh_8kfpMxDH4y9LJAAn-UA" target="_blank">unexpected</a>&#8221; and <a title="Existing Home Sales story May 2010" href="http://www.bankrate.com/financing/federal-reserve/existing-home-sales-disappoint/" target="_blank">disappointing</a>, but a deeper look at the data shows the news isn&#8217;t as bad as it first appears.</p>
<p>First, on a regional basis, sales were mostly solid. Only the Northeast region posted a loss. The West even managed a gain.</p>
<ul>
<li>Northeast : -18.3 percent</li>
<li>Midwest : 0.0 percent</li>
<li>South : +0.5 percent</li>
<li>West : +4.9 percent</li>
</ul>
<p>Second, the supply of homes for sale <a title="Existing Home Sales historical data" href="http://www.realtor.org/ro/research/21582c6c30be1217322cdb9aebaf4a59/rel1005ehs.pdf" target="_blank">dropped to 8.3 in May</a> and, because home prices are based on supply and demand, this is a positive for pricing.</p>
<p>By comparison, in 2008, the average existing home inventory was 10.4 months.</p>
<p>And, lastly, in May, first-time home buyers represented 46 percent of all buyers. The number was likely buoyed by the tax credit program but that doesn&#8217;t damper the fact that first-time buyers provide a support floor for the housing market.&nbsp;</p>
<p>First-time buyers in new york enable &#8220;existing owners&#8221; to move-up to bigger homes, which, in turn, trickles up to the mid-size and jumbo markets.</p>
<p>Analysts expected more from May&#8217;s numbers and that may explain why the reaction to the data is generally negative.&nbsp; However, in many cities, home resales did just fine.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Home Supplies Tick Higher, Creating An Opening For Today&#8217;s Home Buyers</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/05/25/existing-home-sales-april-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/05/25/existing-home-sales-april-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 May 2010 12:52:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,NAR,Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/05/25/existing-home-sales-april-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to the National Association of RealtorsÂ®, although the number of homes sold ticked higher in April,  so did the supply of existing homes for sale, too. Sellers are now listing homes faster than buyers can buy them.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Apr 2009-Apr 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201004.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Apr 2009-Apr 2010" width="216" height="302" />Sales of existing homes rose in April, buoyed by an expiring home buyer tax credit and exceptionally low mortgage rates.</p>
<p>As compared to March, April&#8217;s Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales report April 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/05/ehs_april" target="_blank">rose by 410,000 units</a> nationwide &#8212; the second straight month of large gains. An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home resold by a prior owner (i.e. not new construction).</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a solid report for housing overall, with rising sales suggesting that the real estate market&#8217;s recovery is ongoing. However, the data presented a mixed message.</p>
<p>According to the National Association of Realtors&reg;, although the number of homes sold ticked higher in April,&nbsp; so did the <em>supply</em> of existing homes for sale, too.</p>
<p>Sellers are now listing homes faster than buyers can buy them.</p>
<p>After adding another 0.3 months of supply in April, resale home supply is nearly two full months larger than at <a title="Existing Home Sales historical data" href="http://www.realtor.org/ro/research/85ef886a2570314a48244bdc90a5530a/rel1004ehs.pdf" target="_blank">November 2009&#8217;s low-point</a>. This put downward pressure on home prices.</p>
<p>Furthermore, because 49% of April&#8217;s buyers were first-time buyers and the tax credit has since ended, we can expect that sellers will continue to outweigh buyers in the months ahead.</p>
<p>It presents an interesting opportunity for June&#8217;s home buyers. Mortgage rates are <em>still</em> at their lowest levels of the year &#8212; despite expert predictions to the contrary &#8212; and homes remain affordable. Plus, in a lot of markets, home values have started to creep higher.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s good values and good rates but neither should last long. For the next few weeks, real estate may be in its 2010 sweet spot.&nbsp;</p>
<p>If you were thinking of moving in September of this year or later, consider moving up your timeframe.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Home Resales Boom Into The End Of The Tax Credit; Home Values Seen Rising.</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/04/23/existing-home-sales-march-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/04/23/existing-home-sales-march-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Apr 2010 12:46:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supplies,REO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/04/23/existing-home-sales-march-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales rose in March, as expected. U.S. homebuyers closed on 7 percent more homes as compared to February.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Mar 2008-Mar 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201003.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Mar 2008-Mar 2010" width="216" height="302" />Existing Home Sales rose in March, as expected. U.S. home buyers closed on 7 percent more homes as compared to February.</p>
<p>Furthermore, versus March 2009 &#8212; a month many people equate to the low point of the U.S. economy &#8212; sales <a title="Existing Home Sales March 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/04/ehs_favorable" target="_blank">volume was up 16 percent</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Existing home sale&#8221; is the technical term for a home resale; a home previously inhabited by a person.&nbsp; It&#8217;s the opposite of a &#8220;new home sale&#8221; which is a sale of a newly-constructed home.</p>
<p>Existing Homes Data is tracked by the National Association of Realtors&reg; and a closer look at the March data reveals some <a title="Existing Home Sales March 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/04/ehs_favorable" target="_blank">other interesting notes</a>:</p>
<ol>
<li>Year-over-year sales are higher for the 9th straight month</li>
<li>Real estate investors represented 19 percent of all homes purchased</li>
<li>First-time home buyers account for 44 percent of all buyers</li>
</ol>
<p>Also worth noting is that the supply of available homes is down on a broader basis.&nbsp; At the current rate of sales, the existing home inventory will be exhausted in 8 months.</p>
<p>Despite banks releasing foreclosures and REO into the chicago market, that&#8217;s still one half-month less from February.</p>
<p>When supplies drops, home prices tend to rise. It suggests an underlying strength in housing that should support home prices through the next few months &#8212; especially as the home buyer tax credit finishes working its way through the system.</p>
<p>That said, real estate markets are local. You shouldn&#8217;t assume that what&#8217;s happening on the national level is also happening here at home.&nbsp; Be sure to check with your real estate agent about local market conditions before making a decision to buy or sell.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Existing Home Sales Flatten And Point To A Much Better Spring</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/03/24/existing-home-sales-february-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/03/24/existing-home-sales-february-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Mar 2010 12:47:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Tax Credit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/%month%/existing-home-sales-february-2010.html </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As expected, Existing Home Sales fell in February, slipping 30,000 units versus January's numbers. It's the 4th straight month in which Existing Home Sales were lower, month-over-month. But it may not last long.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Feb 2008-Feb 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201002.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Feb 2008-Feb 2010" width="216" height="302" />As expected, Existing Home Sales fell in February, <a title="Existing Home Sales Data February 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/03/ehs_ease" target="_blank">slipping 30,000 units</a> versus January&#8217;s numbers. It&#8217;s the 4th straight month in which Existing Home Sales were lower, month-over-month.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing&#8221; home is one that is previously owned and lived-in (i.e. not new construction).</p>
<p>Existing Home Sales peaked in November 2009, just as the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit was set to expire. Immediately thereafter, according to the National Association of Realtors&reg;, monthly sales <a title="Existing Home Sales Data" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/40adda8041d7e6ab8bdfdb88f8e9afed/REL1002EHS.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=40adda8041d7e6ab8bdfdb88f8e9afed" target="_blank">plunged 17 percent</a> in December, then another 7 percent in January.</p>
<p>Comparatively, February&#8217;s dip is a modest 0.6 percent and is more in line with the pre-tax-credit Existing Home Sales trend.&nbsp; The real estate market is rediscovering its normal.&nbsp;</p>
<p>But &#8220;normal&#8221; may not last for long.</p>
<p>When the federal home buyer&#8217;s tax program was extended last year, the new rules stated that home buyers must be under contract for their new, respective homes on, or before, April 30, 2010 in order to claim up to $8,000 in federal money.&nbsp; That deadline is approaching and many markets &#8212; los angeles included &#8212; are experiencing a surge in buyer traffic as April 30 nears.</p>
<p>The Existing Home Sales data doesn&#8217;t reflect this new demand, nor the number of new contracts written. It only accounts for home closings and, in February, closings were down.</p>
<p>For today&#8217;s buyers, the market looks favorable. The federal tax credit is in place, mortgage rates stubbornly stick near all-time lows, and home prices are staying in check.</p>
<p>Existing Home Sales should gain through March and April, pressuring home prices higher. And, by the time the press reports the gains, the best deals in the city may already be gone.&nbsp; Consider acting sooner rather than later.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Drop Again In January But Stay On The Trendline</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/03/02/existing-home-sales-january-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/03/02/existing-home-sales-january-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 13:46:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,New Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/%month%/existing-home-sales-january-2010.html </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Anecdotal evidence is showing sales activity higher through February and into March. And, although it's unlikely we'll see a spike through April like we did last November, buy-side demand for homes should remain strong. The good news of the sagging sales reports is that today's buyers may find home prices are lower and sellers are more willing to negotiate.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Jan 2009-Jan 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201001.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Jan 2009-Jan 2010" width="216" height="302" />The winter months have not been kind to home sales.</p>
<p>After plunging 17 percent in December, <a title="Existing Home Sales January 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/02/ehs_january2010" target="_blank">Existing Home Sales fell</a> by an additional 7 percent in January, according to the National Association of Realtors&reg;. An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home resold by a previous owner (i.e. not new construction).</p>
<p>In looking at the annualized, adjusted Existing Home Sales data, we find:</p>
<ol>
<li>Sales volume is at its lowest levels since June 2009</li>
<li>Sales volume fell below its 12-month rolling average</li>
<li>Home supplies are at a 5-month high</li>
</ol>
<p>These are similar findings to the New Home Sales data issued by the government last week.&nbsp; <a title="New Home Sales data January 2010" href="http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf" target="_blank">That report</a> put new home sales at a 40-year low and showed new homes supplies higher by an entire month.</p>
<p>But don&#8217;t think housing rebound has halted! Home sales are cyclical and there are outside forces on today&#8217;s market.</p>
<p>For one, the market is still feeling the after-effects of the original First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit. Sales spiked in the months leading up to the original November 2009 expiration date. A pull-back is natural and expected.</p>
<p>Looking at the long-term trend, Existing Home Sales volume appears right in line.</p>
<p>Furthermore, weather across much of the U.S. was awful in January. That, too, can impede home sales as homes are neither shown nor negotiated when weather is majorly inclement.</p>
<p>Anecdotal evidence is showing sales activity higher through February and into March. And, although it&#8217;s unlikely we&#8217;ll see a spike through April like we did last November, buy-side demand for homes should remain strong. The good news of the sagging sales reports is that today&#8217;s buyers may find home prices are lower and sellers are more willing to negotiate.</p>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Plummet In December, But It Was Expected</title>
		<link>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/01/26/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected/</link>
		<comments>http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/01/26/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 13:46:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>slevitt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Pending Home Sales,Home Affordability]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themortgagebuzz.com/2010/%month%/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected.html </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December's Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low. Don't be alarmed, though. It was expected.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Steven Levitt, CMPS, CRMS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 0pt none; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-vol-200912.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009" width="216" height="302" />Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t be alarmed, though. The plunge was expected. And not just because <a title="Pending Home Sales November 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/01/pending_surge" target="_blank">Pending Home Sales cratered</a> last month.</p>
<p>When November&#8217;s Existing Home Sales surged, it was clear to observers that an expiring $8,000 federal tax credit was the catalyst. At the time, the tax program was slated to expire November 30 and the looming deadline pushed a lot of would-be buyers in new york from a December time frame into November.</p>
<p>The expiration date has a cannibalizing effect on December&#8217;s sales figures. It was only later that Congress extended the tax credit to June 30, 2010.</p>
<p>So, with home sales plunging in December, it&#8217;s no surprise that home supplies rose for the first time in 9 months.&nbsp; Home Supply is calculating by dividing the number of homes for sale by the current sales pace.</p>
<p>The national housing supply now <a title="Existing Home Sales Data December 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/01/december_down" target="_blank">rests at 7.2 months</a>.</p>
<p>Despite December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales report appearing shaky, it&#8217;s actually terrific new for home buyers in neighborhoods like chicago.</p>
<p>See, for the past few months, as housing has been improving, sellers nationwide have been bombarded by messages of &#8220;hot markets&#8221; and rising home prices by the media.&nbsp; Psychologically, a seller is more likely to hold firm on price if he believes the housing market is improving and now December&#8217;s data is deflating that argument.</p>
<p>This is why we say there&#8217;s always two sides to a housing story &#8212; the buyers&#8217; side and the sellers&#8217; side. And, usually, what&#8217;s good for one party is bad for the other. It&#8217;s what we&#8217;re seeing now.</p>
<p>Because of soft data like December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales, buyers may retake some negotiation leverage that&#8217;s been lost since Spring 2009, helping to improve home affordability and, perhaps, spur more sales.</p>
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